Puna Weather
Thursday 31st July 2025
Today through Tuesday moderate easterly trade winds and very little rain. Humidity should be mostly in the comfortable range.
Wednesday and Thursday humid with rain.
Lots of activity in the tropics today with two systems to our south and another one to our east... soon to be two to our east. Both of the ones to our east we need to keep an eye on.
In the near term ridging aloft will bring idyllic condition into early next week.
The first feature we're watching is tropical storm Gil which is in an a moist environment with warm sea surface temperatures and low(ish) shear. Models show the shear between 10kts-15kts for the next few days, so Gil is not likely to strengthen much more than a CAT1. The high that is steering Gil is retreating to the north, which will give Gil a west-northwest path for the next few days, taking the storm over progressively colder waters until it peters out and becomes a remnant low. The remnant circulation and moisture are then tracked by the easterly trade flow towards us, or maybe a bit to our north... time will tell.
Behind Gil we're watching another area of possible development which could hold together longer and approach our longitude as a more intact system... bears watching.